Unia Swarzędz 39%Draw 20%Lech Poznań II 42%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.74
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Lech Poznań II to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznań II to win ✗42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lech Poznań II travel to face Unia Swarzędz on Friday 4 September in the III Liga Group 2 – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Unia Swarzędz are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Lech Poznań II are 5th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Unia Swarzędz, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kluczevia Stargard, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lech Poznań II, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Grom Nowy Staw, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznań II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Unia Swarzędz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unia Swarzędz 1.7 xG, Lech Poznań II 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unia Swarzędz 39%, draw 20%, Lech Poznań II 42%.
Price worth noting: Lech Poznań II to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unia Swarzędz 1–2 Lech Poznań II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unia Swarzędz39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.75
Lech Poznań II42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
3.41Expected goals
1.67Unia Swarzędz xG
1.74Lech Poznań II xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Unia Swarzędz 1.7 – 1.7 Lech Poznań II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznań II to win✗
42%
2.40
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Lech Poznań II (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Unia Swarzędz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Lech Poznań II to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Unia Swarzędz – last 6
LLWLLW
28 Aug
@ Kluczevia Stargard
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Wda Świecie
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Elana Toruń
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs Noteć Czarnków
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Kalisz
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Grom Nowy Staw
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lech Poznań II – last 6
LWWLDW
29 Aug
vs Grom Nowy Staw
2–4
L
23 Aug
@ Gedania Gdansk
3–2
W
19 Aug
vs Lipno Stęszew
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Stargard Szczeciński
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Victoria Września
5–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unia Swarzędz and Lech Poznań II.
What is the prediction for Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
On our numbers Unia Swarzędz have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lech Poznań II 42%.
How many goals will there be in Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
Our predicted score is Unia Swarzędz 1–2 Lech Poznań II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
