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Lech Poznań II v Polonia Środa: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 2 · Poland · Amica Wronki Stadium
2–3
FT
Lech Poznań II 26%Draw 19%Polonia Środa 55% Expected goals 1.49 – 2.22
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultPolonia Środa to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Polonia Środa travel to face Lech Poznań II on Sunday 18 October in the III Liga Group 2, with Amica Wronki Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Lech Poznań II are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Polonia Środa are 1st (leading the league) with 37.

Current form

Lech Poznań II, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Wda Świecie, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Polonia Środa, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kluczevia Stargard, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Lech Poznań II.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Lech Poznań II 1–1 Polonia Środa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznań II 1.5 xG, Polonia Środa 2.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznań II 26%, draw 19%, Polonia Środa 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznań II 1–2 Polonia Środa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lech Poznań II26%fair 3.78 · @2.90
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.90
Polonia Środa55%fair 1.82 · @1.91
3.71Expected goals
1.49Lech Poznań II xG
2.22Polonia Środa xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
1–37%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: Lech Poznań II 1.5 – 2.2 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolonia Środa to win ✓55%1.821.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betPolonia Środa (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapLech Poznań II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
First team to scorePolonia Środa to score first58%1.71–
Half-time resultPolonia Środa ahead at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa ✓34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Lech Poznań II – last 6

LWDWDL
14 Octvs Wda Świecie1–4L
10 Oct@ Kalisz4–2W
19 Sep@ Elana Toruń0–0D
12 Sepvs Noteć Czarnków2–1W
4 Sep@ Unia Swarzędz1–1D
29 Augvs Grom Nowy Staw2–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Polonia Środa – last 6

WWDDWD
9 Octvs Kluczevia Stargard2–0W
3 Oct@ Wda Świecie4–0W
26 Sepvs Elana Toruń2–2D
19 Sep@ Noteć Czarnków0–0D
11 Sepvs Unia Swarzędz4–3W
5 Sep@ Grom Nowy Staw4–4D
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Lech Poznań II v Polonia Środa1–1
Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa?

On our numbers Lech Poznań II have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Środa 55%.

How many goals will there be in Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa?

Our predicted score is Lech Poznań II 1–2 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa?

Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Amica Wronki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.