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Stargard Szczeciński v Noteć Czarnków: numbers & prediction

Stargard Szczeciński 64%Draw 15%Noteć Czarnków 21% Expected goals 2.26 – 1.17
64%
Betarazi pick

Stargard Szczeciński to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.63Odds

Picks by market

ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗64% · @1.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.43
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Stargard Szczeciński v Noteć Czarnków in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Stargard Szczeciński are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Noteć Czarnków are 9th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Unia Swarzędz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Noteć Czarnków, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Chemik Bydgoszcz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Stargard Szczeciński 1–1 Noteć Czarnków.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stargard Szczeciński 2.3 xG, Noteć Czarnków 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stargard Szczeciński 64%, draw 15%, Noteć Czarnków 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.43.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stargard Szczeciński to win (64%, odds 1.63 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stargard Szczeciński64%fair 1.56 · @1.63
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @3.96
Noteć Czarnków21%fair 4.82 · @3.90
3.43Expected goals
2.26Stargard Szczeciński xG
1.17Noteć Czarnków xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 2.3 – 1.2 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗64%1.561.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.521.43
Draw no betStargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapStargard Szczeciński -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.39
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.811.66
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.361.24
First team to scoreStargard Szczeciński to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultStargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Stargard Szczeciński – last 6

DWDLWD
31 Oct@ Unia Swarzędz0–0D
24 Octvs Grom Nowy Staw3–1W
17 Oct@ Gedania Gdansk2–2D
10 Octvs Lipno Stęszew3–4L
3 Octvs Kalisz5–0W
26 Sep@ Chemik Bydgoszcz3–3D
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Noteć Czarnków – last 6

LWLDWL
31 Octvs Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4L
24 Oct@ Victoria Września1–0W
17 Octvs Bałtyk Koszalin0–3L
10 Oct@ Kotwica Kórnik1–1D
3 Octvs Flota Świnoujście3–0W
26 Sep@ Luzino0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Stargard Szczeciński v Noteć Czarnków1–1
Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?

Our pick is Stargard Szczeciński to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?

On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Noteć Czarnków 21%.

How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?

Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.