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Warta Sieradz v Jagiellonia II: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT
Warta Sieradz 66%Draw 21%Jagiellonia II 13% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.79
66%
Betarazi pick

Warta Sieradz to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceWarta Sieradz or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the III Liga Group 1 brings Warta Sieradz against Jagiellonia II. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Warta Sieradz are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Jagiellonia II are 12th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Warta Sieradz, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ŁKS Łódź II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Jagiellonia II, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wigry Suwałki, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Warta Sieradz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Jagiellonia II.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Warta Sieradz 3–3 Jagiellonia II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Warta Sieradz 2.0 xG, Jagiellonia II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Sieradz 66%, draw 21%, Jagiellonia II 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Warta Sieradz or draw (87%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Warta Sieradz to win (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Sieradz 2–0 Jagiellonia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Warta Sieradz66%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
Jagiellonia II13%fair 7.58 · @4.10
2.81Expected goals
2.02Warta Sieradz xG
0.79Jagiellonia II xG
45%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 2.0 – 0.8 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarta Sieradz to win ✗66%1.531.67 ▲
Double chanceWarta Sieradz or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betWarta Sieradz (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapWarta Sieradz -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreWarta Sieradz to score first ✗68%1.48–
Half-time resultWarta Sieradz ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Warta Sieradz – last 6

WLWWWW
9 Aug@ ŁKS Łódź II1–0W
1 Augvs Mławianka Mława1–2L
25 Julvs Sokół Aleksandrów3–0W
15 Julvs Polonia Środa2–1W
30 May@ Broń Radom1–0W
22 Mayvs Wigry Suwałki2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Jagiellonia II – last 6

DWWDWL
7 Augvs Wigry Suwałki1–1D
31 Jul@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki3–2W
25 Jul@ Podlasie Biała Podlaska4–3W
30 Mayvs Wasilków1–1D
23 May@ Bełchatów2–1W
17 Mayvs Troszyn0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Warta Sieradz v Jagiellonia II3–3
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

Our pick is Warta Sieradz to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia II 13%.

How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 2–0 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.