Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultPelikan Łowicz to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chancePelikan Łowicz or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the III Liga Group 1 brings Pelikan Łowicz against Troszyn. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Pelikan Łowicz are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Troszyn are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Pelikan Łowicz, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Jagiellonia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Troszyn, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Warta Sieradz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pelikan Łowicz, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Troszyn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pelikan Łowicz 2.4 xG, Troszyn 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pelikan Łowicz 62%, draw 23%, Troszyn 14%.
Lower-risk option: Pelikan Łowicz or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pelikan Łowicz to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pelikan Łowicz 2–1 Troszyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pelikan Łowicz62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
Troszyn14%fair 6.93 · @4.00
3.63Expected goals
2.44Pelikan Łowicz xG
1.19Troszyn xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pelikan Łowicz 2.4 – 1.2 Troszyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelikan Łowicz to win✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Double chance
Pelikan Łowicz or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Pelikan Łowicz (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Pelikan Łowicz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.83
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Pelikan Łowicz to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Pelikan Łowicz ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelikan Łowicz / FT Pelikan Łowicz✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Pelikan Łowicz – last 6
LWWWLL
19 Aug
@ Jagiellonia II
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs ŁKS Łódź II
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Mławianka Mława
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Łomża
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Kutno
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Troszyn – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Aug
vs Warta Sieradz
1–4
L
14 Aug
@ Wigry Suwałki
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Widzew II
1–5
L
30 May
@ Wikielec
1–2
L
23 May
vs Łomża
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pelikan Łowicz and Troszyn.
What is the prediction for Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Our pick is Pelikan Łowicz to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
On our numbers Pelikan Łowicz have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Troszyn 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Our predicted score is Pelikan Łowicz 2–1 Troszyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
