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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
Warta Sieradz 59%Draw 21%Olimpia Elbląg 20% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.17
80%
Betarazi pick

Warta Sieradz or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceWarta Sieradz or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg in the III Liga Group 1. In the table, Warta Sieradz are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Olimpia Elbląg are 11th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Warta Sieradz, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Swit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Olimpia Elbląg, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Wigry Suwałki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Warta Sieradz 4–1 Olimpia Elbląg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Warta Sieradz 2.1 xG, Olimpia Elbląg 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Sieradz 59%, draw 21%, Olimpia Elbląg 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Warta Sieradz or draw (80%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Warta Sieradz or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Sieradz 2–1 Olimpia Elbląg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Warta Sieradz59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.80
Olimpia Elbląg20%fair 4.93 · @3.70
3.30Expected goals
2.13Warta Sieradz xG
1.17Olimpia Elbląg xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 2.1 – 1.2 Olimpia Elbląg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarta Sieradz to win ✓59%1.691.73
Double chanceWarta Sieradz or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betWarta Sieradz (draw no bet) ✓74%1.34–
Asian handicapOlimpia Elbląg +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
First team to scoreWarta Sieradz to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultWarta Sieradz ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Warta Sieradz – last 6

LLWDWL
29 Aug@ Swit1–2L
22 Augvs Ząbkovia Ząbki0–4L
19 Aug@ Troszyn4–1W
15 Augvs Jagiellonia II2–2D
9 Aug@ ŁKS Łódź II1–0W
1 Augvs Mławianka Mława1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Olimpia Elbląg – last 6

LDLWWL
29 Augvs Wigry Suwałki1–3L
22 Aug@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2D
19 Augvs Widzew II0–2L
15 Aug@ Olimpia Zambrów2–1W
7 Augvs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.4–2W
31 Julvs Wisła Płock II1–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Mar 2026Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg4–1
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Our pick is Warta Sieradz or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Olimpia Elbląg 20%.

How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 2–1 Olimpia Elbląg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.