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Olimpia Elbląg v Lechia T. Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 1 · Poland · Stadion Miejski
Olimpia Elbląg 38%Draw 20%Lechia T. Mazowiecki 42% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.81
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLechia T. Mazowiecki to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.10

Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Olimpia Elbląg welcome Lechia T. Mazowiecki to Stadion Miejski for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Olimpia Elbląg are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 15th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Olimpia Elbląg, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Weszlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Lechia T. Mazowiecki, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Swit, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lechia T. Mazowiecki, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Olimpia Elbląg.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0–0 Olimpia Elbląg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia Elbląg 1.7 xG, Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia Elbląg 38%, draw 20%, Lechia T. Mazowiecki 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia Elbląg 1–2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpia Elbląg38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.70
Lechia T. Mazowiecki42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
3.53Expected goals
1.72Olimpia Elbląg xG
1.81Lechia T. Mazowiecki xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Olimpia Elbląg 1.7 – 1.8 Lechia T. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLechia T. Mazowiecki to win ✓42%2.382.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.25–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betLechia T. Mazowiecki (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapOlimpia Elbląg +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreLechia T. Mazowiecki to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lechia T. Mazowiecki / FT Lechia T. Mazowiecki ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.10–

Recent results

Olimpia Elbląg – last 6

LWLLDL
19 Sep@ Weszlo1–2L
12 Sepvs Pelikan Łowicz1–0W
4 Sep@ Warta Sieradz1–4L
29 Augvs Wigry Suwałki1–3L
22 Aug@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2D
19 Augvs Widzew II0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lechia T. Mazowiecki – last 6

LLLDWW
18 Sepvs Swit1–2L
11 Sep@ Ząbkovia Ząbki2–4L
5 Sepvs Troszyn0–2L
29 Aug@ Jagiellonia II1–1D
23 Augvs ŁKS Łódź II4–3W
19 Aug@ Mławianka Mława3–2W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki v Olimpia Elbląg0–0
Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Olimpia Elbląg have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lechia T. Mazowiecki 42%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Olimpia Elbląg 1–2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Olimpia Elbląg vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.