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Wisła Płock II v Jagiellonia II: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 1 · Poland · Orlen Arena
2–1
FT
Wisła Płock II 43%Draw 19%Jagiellonia II 37% Expected goals 2.16 – 2.01
71%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultWisła Płock II to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.78

Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jagiellonia II travel to face Wisła Płock II on Friday 25 September in the III Liga Group 1, with Orlen Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Wisła Płock II are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Jagiellonia II are 12th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Wisła Płock II, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Jagiellonia II, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to ŁKS Łódź II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Jagiellonia II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Wisła Płock II.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Wisła Płock II 0–4 Jagiellonia II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wisła Płock II 2.2 xG, Jagiellonia II 2.0 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wisła Płock II 43%, draw 19%, Jagiellonia II 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wisła Płock II 2–2 Jagiellonia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wisła Płock II43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.75
Jagiellonia II37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
4.17Expected goals
2.16Wisła Płock II xG
2.01Jagiellonia II xG
71%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%

From our goals model: Wisła Płock II 2.2 – 2.0 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWisła Płock II to win ✓43%2.312.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.44
Draw no betWisła Płock II (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapJagiellonia II +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
First team to scoreWisła Płock II to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultWisła Płock II ahead at half-time ✗36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wisła Płock II / FT Wisła Płock II ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7%13.78–

Recent results

Wisła Płock II – last 6

LDWLWL
19 Sep@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–3L
12 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź II2–2D
6 Sep@ Widzew II2–0W
1 Sepvs Puszcza Niepołomice0–2L
29 Augvs Mławianka Mława5–3W
23 Aug@ Olimpia Zambrów3–4L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Jagiellonia II – last 6

LWWDLW
19 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź II2–3L
12 Sepvs Mławianka Mława7–4W
5 Sep@ Łomża2–1W
29 Augvs Lechia T. Mazowiecki1–1D
23 Aug@ Weszlo0–4L
19 Augvs Pelikan Łowicz3–0W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Wisła Płock II v Jagiellonia II0–4
Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?

On our numbers Wisła Płock II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jagiellonia II 37%.

How many goals will there be in Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?

Our predicted score is Wisła Płock II 2–2 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?

Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlen Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.