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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jagiellonia II v Troszyn: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT

Troszyn

LDLDW
Jagiellonia II 68%Draw 20%Troszyn 12% Expected goals 2.53 – 1.06
68%
Betarazi pick

Jagiellonia II to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia II to win ✗68% · @1.44
Double chanceJagiellonia II or draw ✗88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the III Liga Group 1 brings Jagiellonia II against Troszyn. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia II are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Troszyn are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Jagiellonia II, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ząbkovia Ząbki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Troszyn, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wisła Płock II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Jagiellonia II 0–1 Troszyn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia II 2.5 xG, Troszyn 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia II 68%, draw 20%, Troszyn 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jagiellonia II to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia II 2–1 Troszyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia II68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.33
Troszyn12%fair 8.10 · @5.50
3.59Expected goals
2.53Jagiellonia II xG
1.06Troszyn xG
51%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 2.5 – 1.1 Troszyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJagiellonia II to win ✗68%1.471.44
Double chanceJagiellonia II or draw ✗88%1.141.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betJagiellonia II (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapJagiellonia II -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreJagiellonia II to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultJagiellonia II ahead at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II ✗47%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.69–

Recent results

Jagiellonia II – last 6

DLLWWD
10 Oct@ Ząbkovia Ząbki2–2D
25 Sep@ Wisła Płock II1–2L
19 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź II2–3L
12 Sepvs Mławianka Mława7–4W
5 Sep@ Łomża2–1W
29 Augvs Lechia T. Mazowiecki1–1D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Troszyn – last 6

LDLDWD
10 Oct@ Wisła Płock II1–2L
26 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź II1–1D
19 Sep@ Mławianka Mława1–4L
12 Sepvs Łomża1–1D
5 Sep@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–0W
29 Augvs Weszlo3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Jagiellonia II v Troszyn0–1
Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn?

Our pick is Jagiellonia II to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn?

On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Troszyn 12%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia II 2–1 Troszyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn?

Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.