Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki welcome Pelikan Łowicz for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Saturday 10 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Pelikan Łowicz are 8th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Warta Sieradz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Pelikan Łowicz, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Widzew II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 2.0 xG, Pelikan Łowicz 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 58%, draw 16%, Pelikan Łowicz 26%.
Price worth noting: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 2–1 Pelikan Łowicz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @3.90
Pelikan Łowicz26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
3.26Expected goals
2.01Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki xG
1.24Pelikan Łowicz xG
51%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 2.0 – 1.2 Pelikan Łowicz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Pelikan Łowicz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki / FT Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – last 6
DLWWWD
3 Oct
@ Warta Sieradz
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Wigry Suwałki
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Wisła Płock II
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Widzew II
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Olimpia Zambrów
5–0
W
29 Aug
@ Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pelikan Łowicz – last 6
DWWLWL
3 Oct
vs Widzew II
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Olimpia Zambrów
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Olimpia Elbląg
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Swit
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Ząbkovia Ząbki
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki and Pelikan Łowicz.
What is the prediction for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
On our numbers Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Pelikan Łowicz 26%.
How many goals will there be in Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Our predicted score is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 2–1 Pelikan Łowicz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.