Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Pelikan Łowicz to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Warta Sieradz welcome Pelikan Łowicz for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Saturday 24 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Warta Sieradz are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Pelikan Łowicz are 8th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Warta Sieradz, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Widzew II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Pelikan Łowicz, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Wigry Suwałki, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Sieradz 1.6 xG, Pelikan Łowicz 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Sieradz 42%, draw 20%, Pelikan Łowicz 38%.
Price worth noting: Pelikan Łowicz to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Sieradz 2–1 Pelikan Łowicz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Sieradz42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
Pelikan Łowicz38%fair 2.62 · @2.88
3.10Expected goals
1.60Warta Sieradz xG
1.51Pelikan Łowicz xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 1.6 – 1.5 Pelikan Łowicz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Sieradz to win✗
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Warta Sieradz (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Pelikan Łowicz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Warta Sieradz to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Warta Sieradz – last 6
WWLDDW
21 Oct
@ Widzew II
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Wisła Płock II
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Wigry Suwałki
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Olimpia Zambrów
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pelikan Łowicz – last 6
LWDWWL
17 Oct
vs Wigry Suwałki
1–4
L
10 Oct
@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Widzew II
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Olimpia Zambrów
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Olimpia Elbląg
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Sieradz and Pelikan Łowicz.
What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz?
On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pelikan Łowicz 38%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 2–1 Pelikan Łowicz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
