Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultJagiellonia II to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.49
Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. travel to face Jagiellonia II on Friday 30 October in the III Liga Group 1 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia II are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jagiellonia II, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olimpia Elbląg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm., last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over ŁKS Łódź II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Lidzbark Warm., collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Jagiellonia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia II 2.2 xG, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia II 60%, draw 15%, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia II 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia II60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.90
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
3.48Expected goals
2.20Jagiellonia II xG
1.29Polonia Lidzbark Warm. xG
54%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 2.2 – 1.3 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia II to win✓
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia II (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Jagiellonia II to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Jagiellonia II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia II – last 6
DLLDLL
24 Oct
@ Olimpia Elbląg
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Swit
1–3
L
14 Oct
vs Troszyn
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Ząbkovia Ząbki
2–2
D
25 Sep
@ Wisła Płock II
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź II
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – last 6
WLWWDL
24 Oct
vs ŁKS Łódź II
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Mławianka Mława
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Łomża
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Weszlo
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Pelikan Łowicz
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia II and Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 24%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia II 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
