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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Geoje Citizen v Geumsan Insam: numbers & prediction

·

Geoje Citizen

LWWWD
2–2
FT

Geumsan Insam

DWLDD
Geoje Citizen 62%Draw 21%Geumsan Insam 17% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.95
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: Geoje Citizen to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGeoje Citizen to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceGeoje Citizen or draw ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Geoje Citizen v Geumsan Insam in the .

Current form

Geoje Citizen, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gijang United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Geumsan Insam, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sejong SA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Geoje Citizen, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Geumsan Insam.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Geoje Citizen 2.0 xG, Geumsan Insam 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Geoje Citizen 62%, draw 21%, Geumsan Insam 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Geoje Citizen or draw (83%) at 1.19.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Geoje Citizen to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Geoje Citizen 2–0 Geumsan Insam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Geoje Citizen62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.54
Geumsan Insam17%fair 5.94 · @3.54
2.96Expected goals
2.01Geoje Citizen xG
0.95Geumsan Insam xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Geoje Citizen 2.0 – 0.9 Geumsan Insam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGeoje Citizen to win ✗62%1.621.80 ▲
Double chanceGeoje Citizen or draw ✓83%1.201.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.53
Draw no betGeoje Citizen (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapGeoje Citizen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.16
First team to scoreGeoje Citizen to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultGeoje Citizen ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Geoje Citizen / FT Geoje Citizen ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Geoje Citizen – last 6

LWWWDW
31 Oct@ Gijang United1–2L
25 Octvs Jungnang Chorus Mustang4–0W
17 Octvs Haman1–0W
11 Octvs Pyeongtaek Citizen3–0W
3 Oct@ Jinju Citizen0–0D
19 Sep@ Jecheon Citizen2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Geumsan Insam – last 6

DWLDDW
31 Octvs Sejong SA2–2D
10 Octvs Namyangju2–0W
13 Sep@ Gijang United1–3L
5 Sepvs Pyeongtaek Citizen0–0D
30 Augvs Jinju Citizen1–1D
23 Aug@ Seosan Pioneer3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Geoje Citizen and Geumsan Insam.

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Jincheon4 Pyeongtaek Citizen1 163%1.37X19%4.33217%6.20 2.1–1.0xG 1Jincheon to win 63%@1.37 ✓
FT Jinju Citizen2 Haman1 167%1.30X18%4.45216%7.80 2.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Namyangju3 Sejong SA1 162%1.80X14%3.64224%3.42 2.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.43 ✓
FT Seosan Pioneer1 Jecheon Citizen5 120%3.38X18%3.58262%1.83 1.0–2.0xG 2Jecheon Citizen to win 62%@1.83 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

On our numbers Geoje Citizen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Geumsan Insam 17%.

How many goals will there be in Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Our predicted score is Geoje Citizen 2–0 Geumsan Insam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.