Mallorca vs Valladolid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Mallorca v Valladolid in the Segunda División, played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. In the table, Mallorca are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Valladolid are 12th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Mallorca, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SV Elversberg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Valladolid, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Sporting Gijon, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.8 xG, Valladolid 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 61%, draw 25%, Valladolid 14%.
Lower-risk option: Mallorca or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–0 Valladolid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca61%fair 1.65 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
Valladolid14%fair 7.06 · @4.85
2.61Expected goals
1.82Mallorca xG
0.79Valladolid xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.8 – 0.8 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✓
61%
1.65
1.69
Double chance
Mallorca or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Mallorca to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Mallorca ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 6
DWWWLL
8 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
17 May
@ Levante
0–2
L
13 May
@ Getafe
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 6
WWLWDL
8 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
4–2
W
5 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Groningen
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
25 Jul
vs Getafe
0–0
D
31 May
@ Almeria
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mallorca vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valladolid 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–0 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Mallorca vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
