Value bet: Granada CF to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGranada CF to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Granada CF vs Mallorca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 24 August the Segunda División brings Granada CF against Mallorca at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Granada CF are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 12 matches; Mallorca are 6th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Granada CF, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oviedo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mallorca, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Valladolid, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Granada CF 0.5 xG, Mallorca 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Granada CF 38%, draw 25%, Mallorca 38%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Granada CF to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Granada CF 0–0 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Granada CF38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.88
Mallorca38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
1.00Expected goals
0.50Granada CF xG
0.50Mallorca xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
1–018%
0–118%
1–19%
2–05%
0–25%
From our goals model: Granada CF 0.5 – 0.5 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Granada CF to win✓
38%
2.65
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Draw no bet
Granada CF (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.42
–
Recent results
Granada CF – last 6
DWLWWL
15 Aug
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Antequera
3–0
W
5 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Almeria
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
30 May
vs Sporting Gijon
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 6
WDWWWL
15 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
17 May
@ Levante
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Granada CF and Mallorca.
What is the prediction for Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Granada CF vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Granada CF have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mallorca 38%.
How many goals will there be in Granada CF vs Mallorca?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Granada CF 0–0 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Granada CF vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
