Mallorca 69%Draw 18%AD Ceuta FC 14%Expected goals 2.16 – 0.83
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMallorca to win ✓69% · @1.40
Double chanceMallorca or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Segunda División brings Mallorca against AD Ceuta FC at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mallorca are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; AD Ceuta FC are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mallorca, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Granada CF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Las Palmas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mallorca, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for AD Ceuta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 2.2 xG, AD Ceuta FC 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 69%, draw 18%, AD Ceuta FC 14%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 2–0 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.40
AD Ceuta FC14%fair 7.33 · @7.80
2.99Expected goals
2.16Mallorca xG
0.83AD Ceuta FC xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mallorca 2.2 – 0.8 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Double chance
Mallorca or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Mallorca to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Mallorca ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✓
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 6
LWDWWW
24 Aug
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LLWWLW
22 Aug
vs Las Palmas
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ FC Andorra
1–5
L
7 Aug
vs Malaga
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Cadiz
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Sevilla
1–2
L
30 May
vs Albacete
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AD Ceuta FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 2–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
