Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTenerife to win ✗44% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Segunda División brings Tenerife against Sporting Gijon at Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Tenerife are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Tenerife, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Almeria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Gijon, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Burgos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tenerife, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting Gijon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 1.1 xG, Sporting Gijon 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 44%, draw 23%, Sporting Gijon 33%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Sporting Gijon to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 1–0 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife44%fair 2.26 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Sporting Gijon33%fair 3.07 · @3.30
1.95Expected goals
1.08Tenerife xG
0.86Sporting Gijon xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.1 – 0.9 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win✗
44%
2.26
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Tenerife (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Gijon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.07
First team to score
Tenerife to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Recent results
Tenerife – last 6
WWDWDW
23 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Eibar
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Leganes
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Tamaraceite
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Marino
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WDLLLL
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–4
L
7 Aug
@ Racing Santander
1–4
L
1 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–5
L
25 Jul
@ Celta Vigo
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Gijon 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
