Value bet: Leganes to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTenerife to win ✓38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Tenerife vs Leganes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leganes travel to face Tenerife on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Tenerife are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Leganes are 18th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tenerife, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Sociedad II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Leganes, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Las Palmas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Leganes 0–0 Tenerife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 0.8 xG, Leganes 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 38%, draw 25%, Leganes 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Leganes to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 0–0 Leganes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife38%fair 2.60 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Leganes37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
1.50Expected goals
0.76Tenerife xG
0.74Leganes xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Tenerife 0.8 – 0.7 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tenerife vs Leganes?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leganes 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Leganes?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Leganes?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 0–0 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Leganes?
Tenerife vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
