Eldense v Eibar Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEibar to win ✓47% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.06

Eldense vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Eibar travel to face Eldense on Saturday 19 September in the Segunda División, with Nuevo Pepico Amat the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Eldense are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Eibar are 4th (among the top four) with 23.

Current form

Eldense, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting Gijon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Eibar, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Celta de Vigo II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Eldense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eldense 0.9 xG, Eibar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Eldense 29%, draw 24%, Eibar 47%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eldense 0–1 Eibar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eldense29%fair 3.46 · @2.90

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90

Eibar47%fair 2.14 · @2.40

2.20Expected goals

0.92Eldense xG

1.28Eibar xG

47%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–011%

1–010%

0–29%

1–28%

From our goals model: Eldense 0.9 – 1.3 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Eibar to win ✓	47%	2.14	2.40 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.85
Draw no bet	Eibar (draw no bet) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Eldense +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Eibar to score first ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✓	26%	3.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	14%	7.06	–

Eldense – last 6

WDLDLL

13 Sep	@ Sporting Gijon	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Mallorca	0–0	D
29 Aug	@ Leganes	0–1	L
22 Aug	vs Cadiz	2–2	D
17 Aug	@ Almeria	0–3	L
7 Aug	@ Albacete	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Eibar – last 6

WWWWLD

14 Sep	@ Celta de Vigo II	4–0	W
6 Sep	vs Granada CF	3–0	W
30 Aug	@ FC Andorra	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Valladolid	1–0	W
16 Aug	vs Tenerife	1–3	L
8 Aug	@ Real Unión	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eldense vs Eibar?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Eldense vs Eibar?

On our numbers Eldense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Eibar 47%.

How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Eibar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Eibar?

Our predicted score is Eldense 0–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Eldense vs Eibar?

Eldense vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Pepico Amat.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Eldense v Eibar: numbers & prediction