Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win ✗42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Eldense vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oviedo travel to face Eldense on Friday 2 October in the Segunda División, with Nuevo Pepico Amat the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Eldense are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Oviedo are 9th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Eldense, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Burgos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Oviedo, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting Gijon, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Oviedo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Eldense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eldense 0.8 xG, Oviedo 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eldense 34%, draw 24%, Oviedo 42%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Oviedo to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eldense 0–0 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eldense34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Oviedo42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
1.71Expected goals
0.78Eldense xG
0.93Oviedo xG
50%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Eldense 0.8 – 0.9 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✗
42%
2.40
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Eldense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Oviedo to score first✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.97
–
Recent results
Eldense – last 6
LLWDLD
27 Sep
@ Burgos
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Eibar
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Sporting Gijon
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Mallorca
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Leganes
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
WLWDWL
27 Sep
vs Sporting Gijon
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Albacete
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Leganes
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Oviedo.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Eldense vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Eldense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oviedo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Oviedo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Eldense 0–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs Oviedo?
Eldense vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
