Eibar v Almeria Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmeria to win ✗41% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Eibar vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:15 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Eibar v Almeria in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. In the table, Eibar are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 12 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29.

Current form

Eibar, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cordoba, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Almeria, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Castellonense, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Almeria, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Eibar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eibar 1.4 xG, Almeria 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar 37%, draw 22%, Almeria 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eibar37%fair 2.68 · @2.60

Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30

Almeria41%fair 2.44 · @2.45

2.91Expected goals

1.41Eibar xG

1.50Almeria xG

61%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–08%

0–26%

From our goals model: Eibar 1.4 – 1.5 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almeria to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.62
Draw no bet	Almeria (draw no bet)	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Eibar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.80	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
First team to score	Almeria to score first ✓	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Almeria / FT Almeria ✗	23%	4.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.60	–

Eibar – last 6

LDLWWW

24 Oct	@ Cordoba	0–2	L
17 Oct	vs Mallorca	1–1	D
12 Oct	@ Oviedo	1–3	L
3 Oct	@ Albacete	3–1	W
27 Sep	vs Las Palmas	3–2	W
19 Sep	@ Eldense	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Almeria – last 6

DDWWWW

27 Oct	@ Castellonense	0–0	D
24 Oct	vs Oviedo	2–2	D
17 Oct	@ Real Sociedad II	4–2	W
11 Oct	vs Leganes	3–0	W
3 Oct	vs Burgos	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Mallorca	1–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs Almeria?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Eibar vs Almeria?

On our numbers Eibar have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almeria 41%.

How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Almeria?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Almeria?

Our predicted score is Eibar 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Eibar vs Almeria?

Eibar vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Eibar v Almeria: numbers & prediction