Tenerife 59%Draw 23%AD Ceuta FC 18%Expected goals 1.96 – 0.91
59%
Betarazi pick
Tenerife to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.92
5/10Rating
1.92Odds
Picks by market
ResultTenerife to win59% · @1.92
Double chanceTenerife or draw82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–07% · fair 14.06
Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tenerife welcome AD Ceuta FC for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 15 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Tenerife are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; AD Ceuta FC are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Tenerife, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Andorra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cordoba, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 2.0 xG, AD Ceuta FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 59%, draw 23%, AD Ceuta FC 18%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Tenerife to win (59%, odds 1.92 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 1–0 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife59%fair 1.68 · @1.92
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.56
AD Ceuta FC18%fair 5.68 · @4.14
2.87Expected goals
1.96Tenerife xG
0.91AD Ceuta FC xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Tenerife 2.0 – 0.9 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tenerife
AD Ceuta FC
Attack vs Segunda División average
-5%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+35%
Our expected goals here
2.01
0.85
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win
59%
1.68
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Tenerife or draw
82%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Tenerife (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Tenerife -0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Tenerife to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Tenerife ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
7%
14.06
–
Recent results
Tenerife – last 6
DDDDLD
1 Nov
vs FC Andorra
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Sabadell
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Girona
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Cordoba
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Cadiz
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LLWLLL
7 Nov
@ Cordoba
0–3
L
1 Nov
vs Sporting Gijon
0–2
L
29 Oct
@ Poblense
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Cadiz
1–3
L
18 Oct
vs Oviedo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and AD Ceuta FC.
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our pick is Tenerife to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.92.
Who will win Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AD Ceuta FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
