Valladolid vs Castellón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the Segunda División brings Valladolid against Castellón. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Valladolid are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Castellón are 2nd (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
Valladolid, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sporting Gijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Castellón, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burgos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valladolid 1.2 xG, Castellón 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valladolid 30%, draw 24%, Castellón 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valladolid 1–1 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valladolid30%fair 3.37 · @2.78
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.58
Castellón46%fair 2.17 · @2.29
2.80Expected goals
1.15Valladolid xG
1.64Castellón xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.2 – 1.6 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Valladolid
Castellón
Attack vs Segunda División average
+15%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-43%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.67
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win
46%
2.17
2.29 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.53
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Valladolid +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Castellón to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Valladolid – last 6
WWWLLW
8 Nov
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
2 Nov
vs Leganes
4–3
W
29 Oct
@ Covadonga
1–0
W
23 Oct
@ Granada CF
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Eldense
2–3
L
12 Oct
vs Albacete
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWWWLD
1 Nov
@ Burgos
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Conquense
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Castellón.
What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Valladolid vs Castellón?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castellón 46%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–1 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Castellón?
Valladolid vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
