Celta Vigo 63%Draw 23%Osasuna 14%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.68
86%
Betarazi pick
Celta Vigo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 27 August the La Liga brings Celta Vigo against Osasuna at Estadio Abanca Balaídos. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Celta Vigo are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Osasuna are 16th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Valencia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Osasuna, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Levante, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.7 xG, Osasuna 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 63%, draw 23%, Osasuna 14%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Celta Vigo to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celta Vigo or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Osasuna14%fair 7.10 · @4.10
2.43Expected goals
1.74Celta Vigo xG
0.68Osasuna xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.7 – 0.7 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✗
63%
1.59
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.93
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Celta Vigo ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 6
DDWDWD
22 Aug
@ Valencia
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Napoli
1–1
D
5 Aug
@ Sassuolo
4–1
W
29 Jul
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Sporting Gijon
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ SC Braga
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 6
DLLWWW
24 Aug
vs Levante
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Al Ain
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Napoli
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Norwich
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Ipswich
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Osasuna.
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Osasuna 14%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
