Value bet: Racing Santander to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Racing Santander vs Villarreal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villarreal travel to face Racing Santander on Sunday 16 August in the La Liga, with El Sardinero the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Racing Santander are 10th, upper half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Villarreal are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Racing Santander, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alaves, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Villarreal, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Galatasaray, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Villarreal, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Racing Santander.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Santander 1.3 xG, Villarreal 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Santander 36%, draw 22%, Villarreal 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Racing Santander to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Santander 1–1 Villarreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Santander36%fair 2.76 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Villarreal42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
2.78Expected goals
1.33Racing Santander xG
1.46Villarreal xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.3 – 1.5 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Villarreal (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Racing Santander +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Villarreal to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Racing Santander – last 6
DWLLLD
7 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
29 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Osasuna
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Real Sociedad
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
WWLWLW
8 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Levante
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Lens
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ PSV Eindhoven
3–1
W
17 Jul
@ Benfica
0–2
L
24 May
vs Atletico Madrid
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villarreal 42%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Racing Santander vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at El Sardinero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
