Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Monday 24 August: Malaga v Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga, played at La Rosaleda. In the table, Malaga are 20th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 12 matches; Deportivo La Coruna are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Malaga, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Madrid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Elche, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo La Coruna, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Malaga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malaga 1.1 xG, Deportivo La Coruna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malaga 44%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Coruna 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malaga44%fair 2.29 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.90
Deportivo La Coruna31%fair 3.19 · @3.20
2.00Expected goals
1.12Malaga xG
0.88Deportivo La Coruna xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Malaga 1.1 – 0.9 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malaga to win✗
44%
2.29
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Malaga (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruna +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Malaga to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malaga / FT Malaga✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.41
–
Recent results
Malaga – last 6
LDLWDD
19 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Fulham
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs Al-Arabi SC
4–2
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Leicester
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DLWDDW
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Lugo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Malaga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo La Coruna 31%.
How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at La Rosaleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
