Sevilla vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 11 September the La Liga brings Sevilla against Valencia. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sevilla are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Valencia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Sevilla, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Espanyol, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Valencia, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Barcelona, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sevilla, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Valencia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla 1.6 xG, Valencia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla 47%, draw 24%, Valencia 29%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla 1–1 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Valencia29%fair 3.46 · @3.75
2.88Expected goals
1.64Sevilla xG
1.24Valencia xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.6 – 1.2 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✓
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sevilla (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Valencia +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Sevilla to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Sevilla – last 6
DLWWLW
6 Sep
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Athletic Club
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Utrecht
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 6
LLLDLD
6 Sep
vs Barcelona
0–5
L
30 Aug
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–3
L
25 Aug
vs Real Betis
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Valencia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sevilla vs Valencia?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia 29%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–1 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Valencia?
Sevilla vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
