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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villarreal v Real Betis: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio de la Cerámica
1–2
FT
Villarreal 57%Draw 21%Real Betis 22% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.09
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Villarreal to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVillarreal to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Villarreal vs Real Betis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Monday 14 September: Villarreal v Real Betis in the La Liga, played at Estadio de la Cerámica. In the table, Villarreal are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Real Betis are 4th (among the top four) with 26.

Current form

Villarreal, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Borussia Dortmund, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Real Betis, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lille, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Betis, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Villarreal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 1.9 xG, Real Betis 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 57%, draw 21%, Real Betis 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Villarreal to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 1–1 Real Betis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villarreal57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Real Betis22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
3.00Expected goals
1.91Villarreal xG
1.09Real Betis xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Villarreal 1.9 – 1.1 Real Betis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVillarreal to win ✗57%1.751.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.53
Draw no betVillarreal (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapReal Betis +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreVillarreal to score first60%1.65–
Half-time resultVillarreal ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villarreal / FT Villarreal ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Villarreal – last 6

LLLDDW
8 Sep@ Borussia Dortmund2–3L
5 Sepvs Deportivo La Coruna2–3L
28 Aug@ Alaves0–1L
23 Aug@ Atletico Madrid2–2D
16 Aug@ Racing Santander2–2D
8 Aug@ Galatasaray2–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Real Betis – last 6

WWLWWL
8 Sep@ Lille3–2W
4 Sepvs Real Madrid1–0W
29 Aug@ Levante2–5L
25 Aug@ Valencia1–0W
21 Augvs Real Sociedad1–0W
15 Aug@ Inter0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Real Betis.

Villarreal vs Real Betis head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Villarreal vs Real Betis?

On our numbers Villarreal have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Betis 22%.

How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Real Betis?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–1 Real Betis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Villarreal vs Real Betis (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Cerámica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.