Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rayo Vallecano travel to face Getafe on Monday 19 October in the La Liga, with Coliseum Alfonso Pérez the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Getafe are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Rayo Vallecano are 14th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Getafe, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Universitatea Craiova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Osasuna, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Getafe 1.3 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Getafe 34%, draw 25%, Rayo Vallecano 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Getafe34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Rayo Vallecano41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
2.73Expected goals
1.29Getafe xG
1.44Rayo Vallecano xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Getafe 1.3 – 1.4 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Vallecano to win✗
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Rayo Vallecano (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Getafe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Rayo Vallecano to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Vallecano / FT Rayo Vallecano✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Getafe – last 6
DLWLDD
15 Oct
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Barcelona
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Malaga
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
DWLWLD
19 Sep
@ Osasuna
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Racing Santander
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
20 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano.
What is the prediction for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Getafe have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rayo Vallecano 41%.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
