Sevilla vs Osasuna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Monday 26 October: Sevilla v Osasuna in the La Liga, played at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. In the table, Sevilla are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Osasuna are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Sevilla, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Real Madrid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Osasuna, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Racing Santander, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sevilla, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Osasuna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla 2.0 xG, Osasuna 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla 56%, draw 21%, Osasuna 23%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sevilla to win (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla 2–1 Osasuna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Osasuna23%fair 4.39 · @3.90
3.22Expected goals
2.01Sevilla xG
1.21Osasuna xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sevilla 2.0 – 1.2 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.91
Draw no bet
Sevilla (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Osasuna +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Sevilla to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Sevilla ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Sevilla – last 6
LDLLWW
18 Oct
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
12 Oct
@ Levante
3–3
D
2 Oct
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Barcelona
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Valencia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 6
WLDLLL
18 Oct
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Real Betis
2–5
L
19 Sep
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Atletico Madrid
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Espanyol
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Alaves
2–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Osasuna.
Our pick is Sevilla to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Osasuna 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Osasuna?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 2–1 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Sevilla vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
