Value bet: Valencia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultElche to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Elche vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elche welcome Valencia to Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero for a La Liga fixture on Sunday 1 November (18:30 WAT). In the table, Elche are 18th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Valencia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Elche, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pinatar, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Valencia, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villarreal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Elche, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Valencia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elche 1.4 xG, Valencia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elche 41%, draw 23%, Valencia 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Valencia to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elche 1–1 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elche41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Valencia36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.43Elche xG
1.32Valencia xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Elche 1.4 – 1.3 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elche to win✗
41%
2.42
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Elche (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Valencia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Elche to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elche / FT Elche✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Elche – last 6
WWDDWL
27 Oct
@ Pinatar
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Rayo Vallecano
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Villarreal
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Celta Vigo
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Espanyol
3–1
W
15 Sep
vs Real Madrid
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 6
LDDLWL
24 Oct
vs Villarreal
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Athletic Club
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Racing Santander
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Real Sociedad
2–3
L
15 Sep
@ Alaves
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Sevilla
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche and Valencia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
On our numbers Elche have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Elche vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Elche 1–1 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Elche vs Valencia?
Elche vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
