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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villarreal v Espanyol: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio de la Ceramica
0–1
FT
Villarreal 64%Draw 21%Espanyol 15% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.82
64%
Betarazi pick

Villarreal to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultVillarreal to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceVillarreal or draw ✗85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Villarreal vs Espanyol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Villarreal welcome Espanyol to Estadio de la Ceramica for a La Liga fixture on Friday 30 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Villarreal are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Espanyol are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Villarreal, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Manacor, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Espanyol, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sestao River, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Villarreal, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Espanyol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 1.9 xG, Espanyol 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 64%, draw 21%, Espanyol 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Villarreal to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 1–0 Espanyol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villarreal64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.60
Espanyol15%fair 6.58 · @6.00
2.75Expected goals
1.93Villarreal xG
0.82Espanyol xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Villarreal 1.9 – 0.8 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVillarreal to win ✗64%1.571.44
Double chanceVillarreal or draw ✗85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.67
Draw no betVillarreal (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapVillarreal -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreVillarreal to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultVillarreal ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villarreal / FT Villarreal ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Villarreal – last 6

WWLDWL
27 Oct@ Manacor5–0W
24 Oct@ Valencia2–1W
20 Oct@ Liverpool3–4L
17 Octvs Elche0–0D
13 Octvs Napoli3–1W
10 Oct@ Real Madrid0–1L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Espanyol – last 6

DLLDLL
27 Oct@ Sestao River2–2D
24 Oct@ Racing Santander1–2L
17 Octvs Atletico Madrid0–1L
9 Oct@ Malaga1–1D
18 Sepvs Elche1–3L
15 Sep@ Rayo Vallecano1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Espanyol.

Villarreal vs Espanyol head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Our pick is Villarreal to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?

On our numbers Villarreal have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Espanyol 15%.

How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Espanyol?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–0 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Villarreal vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.