USA 39%Draw 24%Belgium 36%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.58
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUSA to win ✗39% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
USA vs Belgium: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 7 July the World Cup brings USA against Belgium at Lumen Field. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
USA, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bosnia & Herzegovina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Belgium, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Senegal, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USA 1.7 xG, Belgium 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USA 39%, draw 24%, Belgium 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: USA 1–1 Belgium. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USA39%fair 2.55 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.35
Belgium36%fair 2.75 · @2.68
3.26Expected goals
1.68USA xG
1.58Belgium xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: USA 1.7 – 1.6 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA to win✗
39%
2.55
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.50
Draw no bet
USA (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Belgium +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
First team to score
USA to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA / FT USA✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
USA – last 6
WLWWLW
2 Jul
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2–0
W
26 Jun
@ Türkiye
2–3
L
19 Jun
vs Australia
2–0
W
13 Jun
vs Paraguay
4–1
W
6 Jun
vs Germany
1–2
L
31 May
vs Senegal
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 6
DWDDWW
1 Jul
vs Senegal
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ New Zealand
5–1
W
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Belgium.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win USA vs Belgium?
On our numbers USA have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belgium 36%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Belgium?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is USA 1–1 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is USA vs Belgium?
USA vs Belgium (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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