UD Logroñés 61%Draw 23%Pontevedra 15%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.02
85%
Betarazi pick
UD Logroñés or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: UD Logroñés to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUD Logroñés to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceUD Logroñés or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pontevedra travel to face UD Logroñés on Friday 18 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Las Gaunas the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, UD Logroñés are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Pontevedra are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
UD Logroñés, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over UD Ourense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pontevedra, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Athletic Club II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours UD Logroñés, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Pontevedra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UD Logroñés 2.2 xG, Pontevedra 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UD Logroñés 61%, draw 23%, Pontevedra 15%.
Lower-risk option: UD Logroñés or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: UD Logroñés to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was UD Logroñés or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UD Logroñés 2–1 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UD Logroñés61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Pontevedra15%fair 6.64 · @3.90
3.17Expected goals
2.15UD Logroñés xG
1.02Pontevedra xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: UD Logroñés 2.2 – 1.0 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
UD Logroñés or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
UD Logroñés (draw no bet)
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
UD Logroñés -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
UD Logroñés to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
UD Logroñés ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
UD Logroñés – last 6
WWWWWL
12 Sep
@ UD Ourense
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Zamora
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Huesca II
4–0
W
21 Aug
vs Mirandes
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Zaragoza
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 6
LWWLWW
12 Sep
vs Athletic Club II
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Arenas Getxo
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Real Avilés
1–0
W
19 Aug
@ Coruxo
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Ourense CF
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Estradense
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Logroñés and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is UD Logroñés or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers UD Logroñés have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pontevedra 15%.
How many goals will there be in UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is UD Logroñés 2–1 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
