Mérida AD 63%Draw 20%CD Coria 16%Expected goals 2.32 – 1.12
63%
Betarazi pick
Mérida AD to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultMérida AD to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceMérida AD or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Mérida AD vs CD Coria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Mérida AD v CD Coria in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto. In the table, Mérida AD are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; CD Coria are 17th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Mérida AD, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arenas Getxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
CD Coria, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Athletic Club II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mérida AD, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for CD Coria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mérida AD 2.3 xG, CD Coria 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mérida AD 63%, draw 20%, CD Coria 16%.
Lower-risk option: Mérida AD or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mérida AD to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mérida AD 2–1 CD Coria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mérida AD63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.30
CD Coria16%fair 6.08 · @4.00
3.44Expected goals
2.32Mérida AD xG
1.12CD Coria xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mérida AD 2.3 – 1.1 CD Coria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mérida AD to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Mérida AD or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Mérida AD (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Mérida AD -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Mérida AD to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Mérida AD ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Mérida AD – last 6
WWWLLL
18 Oct
@ Arenas Getxo
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Pontevedra
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Cacereño
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
3–5
L
19 Sep
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Mirandes
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CD Coria – last 6
WLLDDL
18 Oct
vs Athletic Club II
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
2–4
L
4 Oct
@ Zamora
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ Cultural Leonesa
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Lugo
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mérida AD and CD Coria.
Our pick is Mérida AD to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CD Coria 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
Our predicted score is Mérida AD 2–1 CD Coria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
Mérida AD vs CD Coria (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
