Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mérida AD welcome Athletic Club II to Estadio Romano Jose Fouto for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 8 November (18:15 WAT). In the table, Mérida AD are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Athletic Club II are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mérida AD, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lugo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Athletic Club II, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cacereño, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mérida AD, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Athletic Club II.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Athletic Club II 1–1 Mérida AD.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mérida AD 1.4 xG, Athletic Club II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mérida AD 40%, draw 22%, Athletic Club II 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mérida AD 1–1 Athletic Club II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mérida AD40%fair 2.49 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Athletic Club II37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.44Mérida AD xG
1.37Athletic Club II xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Club II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Our predicted score is Mérida AD 1–1 Athletic Club II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
