Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 53% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +64%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.10
Double chanceReal Madrid II or draw ✓78% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Teruel vs Real Madrid II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Monday 31 August: Teruel v Real Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Pinilla. In the table, Teruel are 20th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Real Madrid II are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Teruel, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valencia U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Real Madrid II, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlético Baleares, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Teruel, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Real Madrid II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Teruel 1.3 xG, Real Madrid II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Teruel 22%, draw 53%, Real Madrid II 25%.
Lower-risk option: Real Madrid II or draw (78%) at 1.42.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Madrid II or draw (78%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Teruel 1–1 Real Madrid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Teruel22%fair 4.49 · @2.70
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.10
Real Madrid II25%fair 4.01 · @2.45
2.58Expected goals
1.26Teruel xG
1.32Real Madrid II xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.3 – 1.3 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.89
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Real Madrid II or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Real Madrid II (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Real Madrid II to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Recent results
Teruel – last 6
WDLDDW
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Madrid II – last 6
LLDDDW
21 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Zamora
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Ponferradina
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Mirandes
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Racing Ferrol
2–2
D
5 Aug
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Real Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
Our pick is Real Madrid II or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
On our numbers Teruel have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Real Madrid II 25%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–1 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
Teruel vs Real Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
