Real Murcia 62%Draw 23%Teruel 16%Expected goals 1.16 – 0.34
62%
Betarazi pick
Real Murcia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Murcia to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.87
Real Murcia vs Teruel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Real Murcia against Teruel at Estadio Enrique Roca. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Teruel are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Murcia, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hércules, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Teruel, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Madrid II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Murcia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Teruel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 1.2 xG, Teruel 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 62%, draw 23%, Teruel 16%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Murcia to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 1–0 Teruel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Teruel16%fair 6.39 · @5.00
1.50Expected goals
1.16Real Murcia xG
0.34Teruel xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–026%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.2 – 0.3 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.87
–
Recent results
Real Murcia – last 6
WDWWLW
29 Aug
@ Hércules
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Albacete
1–1
D
5 Aug
@ Cieza
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Eldense
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
24 May
vs Eldense
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 6
DWDLDD
31 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Teruel.
Our pick is Real Murcia to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Teruel?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Teruel 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Teruel?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Teruel?
Real Murcia vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
