Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultIbiza to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceIbiza or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Ibiza v Rayo Majadahonda in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses. In the table, Ibiza are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Rayo Majadahonda are 19th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Ibiza, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Antequera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villarreal II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rayo Majadahonda, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Ibiza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ibiza 2.6 xG, Rayo Majadahonda 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ibiza 62%, draw 23%, Rayo Majadahonda 15%.
Lower-risk option: Ibiza or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ibiza 2–1 Rayo Majadahonda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ibiza62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Rayo Majadahonda15%fair 6.47 · @4.80
4.00Expected goals
2.63Ibiza xG
1.37Rayo Majadahonda xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ibiza 2.6 – 1.4 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Ibiza or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Ibiza (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Ibiza -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Ibiza to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ibiza ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza / FT Ibiza✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Ibiza – last 6
LWLWDL
30 Aug
@ Antequera
2–3
L
14 Aug
vs Peña Deportiva
5–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sevilla Atletico
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Eldense
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
LWDWDW
29 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Alcorcon
1–1
D
3 May
vs Rayo Vallecano II
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Elche II
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Ibiza have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayo Majadahonda 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Ibiza 2–1 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
