Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceVillarreal II or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Villarreal II vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Algeciras travel to face Villarreal II on Friday 4 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio de la Ceramica the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Villarreal II are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Villarreal II, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rayo Majadahonda, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Algeciras, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Cartagena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villarreal II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Algeciras.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Villarreal II 4–0 Algeciras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal II 2.0 xG, Algeciras 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal II 58%, draw 24%, Algeciras 18%.
Lower-risk option: Villarreal II or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Villarreal II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal II58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Algeciras18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
2.99Expected goals
1.96Villarreal II xG
1.04Algeciras xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 2.0 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algeciras 18%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Villarreal II vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
