Atlético Madrid II 38%Draw 24%Real Murcia 38%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.62
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlético Madrid II to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia in the Primera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Real Murcia are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Atlético Madrid II, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hércules, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Murcia, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mensajero, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Real Murcia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Atlético Madrid II.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Real Murcia 2–1 Atlético Madrid II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.6 xG, Real Murcia 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 38%, draw 24%, Real Murcia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Madrid II38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Real Murcia38%fair 2.65 · @2.80
3.25Expected goals
1.63Atlético Madrid II xG
1.62Real Murcia xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.6 – 1.6 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Murcia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
