Value bet: Algeciras to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnastic to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Gimnastic vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnastic welcome Algeciras to Nou Estadi de Tarragona for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Friday 11 September (20:15 WAT). In the table, Gimnastic are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnastic, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Cartagena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Algeciras, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villarreal II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gimnastic, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Algeciras.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Algeciras 1–0 Gimnastic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnastic 1.2 xG, Algeciras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnastic 44%, draw 23%, Algeciras 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Algeciras to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnastic 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnastic44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Algeciras33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
2.25Expected goals
1.24Gimnastic xG
1.01Algeciras xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.2 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeciras 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Gimnastic 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
Gimnastic vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
