Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Teruel vs Real Jaén: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Jaén travel to face Teruel on Saturday 12 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Pinilla the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Teruel are 20th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Real Jaén are 4th (among the top four) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Teruel, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Real Murcia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Real Jaén, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Huesca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Jaén, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Teruel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Teruel 1.0 xG, Real Jaén 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Teruel 29%, draw 23%, Real Jaén 48%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Teruel 1–1 Real Jaén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Teruel29%fair 3.45 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Real Jaén48%fair 2.08 · @2.30
2.43Expected goals
1.02Teruel xG
1.41Real Jaén xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.0 – 1.4 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
48%
2.08
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Teruel – last 6
LDWDLD
6 Sep
@ Real Murcia
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
DWLLWW
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
31 May
@ Atlético Baleares
0–1
L
24 May
vs Atlético Baleares
2–1
W
17 May
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Real Jaén.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Teruel vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Teruel have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Jaén 48%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Real Jaén?
Teruel vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
