Atlético Madrid II 41%Draw 23%Villarreal II 37%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.39
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlético Madrid II to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 25 September the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Atlético Madrid II against Villarreal II. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Villarreal II are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Atlético Madrid II, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huesca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Villarreal II, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Antequera, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Villarreal II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Atlético Madrid II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.5 xG, Villarreal II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 41%, draw 23%, Villarreal II 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Villarreal II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Madrid II41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Villarreal II37%fair 2.74 · @2.62
2.88Expected goals
1.49Atlético Madrid II xG
1.39Villarreal II xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.5 – 1.4 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Madrid II to win✗
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Atlético Madrid II (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Villarreal II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Atlético Madrid II to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Madrid II / FT Atlético Madrid II✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Atlético Madrid II – last 6
DWWDLL
19 Sep
@ Huesca
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hércules
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
13 Aug
vs Mirandes
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal II – last 6
DWWWLW
19 Sep
vs Antequera
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Huesca
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Algeciras
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Zaragoza
0–2
L
4 Aug
@ Eldense
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Madrid II and Villarreal II.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarreal II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
