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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Cartagena v Real Murcia: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
1–0
FT
FC Cartagena 43%Draw 25%Real Murcia 33% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.29
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Cartagena to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18

FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Murcia travel to face FC Cartagena on Wednesday 7 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Municipal Cartagonova the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, FC Cartagena are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Real Murcia are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

FC Cartagena, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Águilas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Real Murcia, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gimnastic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Real Murcia 1–2 FC Cartagena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Cartagena 1.5 xG, Real Murcia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cartagena 43%, draw 25%, Real Murcia 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cartagena 1–1 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Cartagena43%fair 2.35 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Real Murcia33%fair 3.07 · @2.75
2.80Expected goals
1.51FC Cartagena xG
1.29Real Murcia xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: FC Cartagena 1.5 – 1.3 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Cartagena to win ✓43%2.352.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.91 ▲
Draw no betFC Cartagena (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapReal Murcia +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreFC Cartagena to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Cartagena / FT FC Cartagena ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.18–

Recent results

FC Cartagena – last 6

WLDDWL
3 Octvs Águilas4–1W
20 Sep@ Zaragoza0–1L
12 Sep@ Rayo Majadahonda1–1D
5 Sepvs Gimnastic0–0D
29 Aug@ Algeciras3–1W
19 Aug@ Elche II0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real Murcia – last 6

WLWDLD
4 Octvs Gimnastic2–0W
30 Sep@ Navalcarnero1–3L
19 Sepvs Europa Fc2–1W
16 Sep@ Orihuela1–1D
13 Sep@ Atlético Madrid II0–4L
9 Sep@ Mensajero1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Real Murcia v FC Cartagena1–2
FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Alcorcon11461+918
6Ibiza11533+418
7Hércules11524-117
8FC Cartagena11443+316
9Real Madrid II11443+216
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic11434-115
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia?

On our numbers FC Cartagena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Murcia 33%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia?

Our predicted score is FC Cartagena 1–1 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia?

FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.