Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Alcorcon vs Huesca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Alcorcon against Huesca at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Alcorcon are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Huesca are 10th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alcorcon, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Teruel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Huesca, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Águilas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alcorcon, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Huesca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcorcon 1.7 xG, Huesca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcorcon 56%, draw 27%, Huesca 17%.
Lower-risk option: Alcorcon or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alcorcon or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcorcon 1–0 Huesca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcorcon56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Huesca17%fair 6.02 · @4.00
2.57Expected goals
1.72Alcorcon xG
0.85Huesca xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alcorcon 1.7 – 0.8 Huesca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Alcorcon (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Huesca +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Alcorcon to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Alcorcon – last 6
LWWWDD
10 Oct
@ Teruel
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Juventud Torremolinos
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ Real Madrid II
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Gimnastic
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Antequera
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Europa Fc
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Huesca – last 6
DWDDLD
10 Oct
@ Águilas
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Europa Fc
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Teruel
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Villarreal II
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Real Jaén
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Huesca.
Our pick is Alcorcon or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Huesca?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Huesca 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Huesca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Huesca?
Our predicted score is Alcorcon 1–0 Huesca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alcorcon vs Huesca?
Alcorcon vs Huesca (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
