Real Jaén 54%Draw 24%Rayo Majadahonda 21%Expected goals 1.48 – 0.81
79%
Betarazi pick
Real Jaén or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓54% · @1.91
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Real Jaén against Rayo Majadahonda at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT. In the table, Real Jaén are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Rayo Majadahonda are 19th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Jaén, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Villarreal II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Murcia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Real Jaén, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Rayo Majadahonda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Jaén 1.5 xG, Rayo Majadahonda 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Jaén 54%, draw 24%, Rayo Majadahonda 21%.
Lower-risk option: Real Jaén or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Jaén or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Jaén 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Jaén54%fair 1.84 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Rayo Majadahonda21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
2.29Expected goals
1.48Real Jaén xG
0.81Rayo Majadahonda xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.5 – 0.8 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
54%
1.84
1.91
Double chance
Real Jaén or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Majadahonda +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✓
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Real Jaén – last 6
DDLWWD
10 Oct
vs Villarreal II
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Hércules
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
LLLWDL
11 Oct
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Europa Fc
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Teruel
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs FC Cartagena
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Real Jaén or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rayo Majadahonda 21%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
