Atlético Madrid II 36%Draw 22%Alcorcon 43%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.69
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Atlético Madrid II v Alcorcon in the Primera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Alcorcon are 5th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Atlético Madrid II, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Jaén, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Alcorcon, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Ibiza, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Alcorcon, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Atlético Madrid II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.5 xG, Alcorcon 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 36%, draw 22%, Alcorcon 43%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Alcorcon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Madrid II36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Alcorcon43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
3.22Expected goals
1.53Atlético Madrid II xG
1.69Alcorcon xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.5 – 1.7 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Alcorcon (draw no bet)
54%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Madrid II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Alcorcon to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Atlético Madrid II – last 6
DLDLLD
25 Oct
vs Real Jaén
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Gimnastic
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Zaragoza
4–4
D
2 Oct
@ Real Madrid II
2–3
L
25 Sep
vs Villarreal II
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Huesca
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcorcon – last 6
DDLWWW
25 Oct
vs Ibiza
3–3
D
16 Oct
vs Huesca
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Teruel
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Juventud Torremolinos
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ Real Madrid II
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Gimnastic
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Madrid II and Alcorcon.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alcorcon 43%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Alcorcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
