Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultHércules to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceHércules or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hércules welcome Rayo Majadahonda for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 1 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, Hércules are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Rayo Majadahonda are 19th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Hércules, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Gimnastic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ciudad de Lucena, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hércules, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Rayo Majadahonda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hércules 1.5 xG, Rayo Majadahonda 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hércules 62%, draw 23%, Rayo Majadahonda 16%.
Lower-risk option: Hércules or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hércules to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hércules 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hércules62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Rayo Majadahonda16%fair 6.32 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.45Hércules xG
0.55Rayo Majadahonda xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hércules 1.5 – 0.5 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hércules or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Hércules (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Majadahonda +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Hércules to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Hércules – last 6
LLWDWW
25 Oct
@ Gimnastic
2–4
L
17 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–2
L
12 Oct
vs Sant Andreu
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Real Jaén
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Águilas
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
WWLLLL
27 Oct
@ Ciudad de Lucena
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Sant Andreu
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Real Jaén
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Europa Fc
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Hércules to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Hércules have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayo Majadahonda 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Hércules 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
