Value bet: Algeciras to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Real Jaén vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 November the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Real Jaén against Algeciras at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Real Jaén are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Real Jaén, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlético Madrid II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Algeciras, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Real Madrid II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Algeciras, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Real Jaén.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Jaén 1.4 xG, Algeciras 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Jaén 39%, draw 24%, Algeciras 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Algeciras to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Jaén 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Jaén39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.88
Algeciras36%fair 2.74 · @3.10
2.67Expected goals
1.37Real Jaén xG
1.30Algeciras xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.4 – 1.3 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
39%
2.54
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Algeciras +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Real Jaén – last 6
DWDDLW
25 Oct
@ Atlético Madrid II
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Villarreal II
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Hércules
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
WWLWWD
25 Oct
vs Real Madrid II
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Hércules
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Europa Fc
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Águilas
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algeciras 36%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
Real Jaén vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
